Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -1.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +7 (64-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Harper * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -8.7 |
| Nico Galette * | 35 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | -11.1 |
| Juwan Maxey * | 30 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -7.2 |
| E.J. Farmer * | 26 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | -10.7 |
| Gabe Dynes * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Siem Uijtendaal | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -17.3 |
| Cris Carroll | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Christian Kirkland | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nana Antwi-Boasiako * | 36 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | +10.6 |
| Chrishawn Christmas * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +11.8 |
| Juhlawnei Stone * | 33 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +24.9 |
| Kyle Hayman * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Myles Jenkins * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Keith Lamar | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Dominic Pangonis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| DaeVeon Scott | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Clayton Southwick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
* = starter