Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +15 (66-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Johnson | 15 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -11.0 |
| Chrishawn Christmas * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | -10.6 |
| Nana Antwi-Boasiako * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Kyle Hayman * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Myles Jenkins * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8.7 |
| Clayton Southwick * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Juhlawnei Stone | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6.7 |
| Dominic Pangonis | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | +4.2 |
| Keith Lamar | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | -3.4 |
| Keenan Emmanuel | 9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +4.5 |
| Thierno Sylla | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
| DaeVeon Scott | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Mascari * | 39 | 8-13 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | +12.7 |
| Bennett Stirtz * | 39 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +10.6 |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 36 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +11.9 |
| Daniel Abreu * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +15.2 |
| Cam Manyawu * | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | -0.9 |
| Nate Ferguson | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +10.8 |
| Kael Combs | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -3.4 |
| Tavion Banks | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.6 |
| Isaia Howard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Andrew Alia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter