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2025-02-07

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 11.0% 89.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 11.2% 88.8% - ✓
Margin 5.1% 94.9% +16.0 ✓ (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 28.5% 71.5% - ✓
Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 2.5% 97.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 19.1% 80.9% - ✓

Actual: Boise State Broncos +27 (79-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Vaihola 33 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 2 6 8 -19.3
Josh Uduje 31 3-9 0-2 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 8 1 -15.6
Latrell Davis 29 5-11 1-5 3-5 0 0 0 0 1 14 2 -9.9
D. Yap 27 3-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 -1 -17.6
Sadaidriene Hall 26 2-4 0-1 2-2 5 2 2 0 1 6 10 -15.8
Will McClendon 21 2-6 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -11.0
Jermaine Washington 15 0-1 0-1 3-4 1 1 1 0 0 3 5 -5.8
Chol Marial 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 3 3 -3.6
Pasha Goodarzi 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -3.5
S. Vasquez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyson Degenhart 33 9-11 3-3 1-2 6 0 0 0 2 22 15 +20.3
Alvaro Cardenas 33 5-9 2-5 4-4 6 9 0 0 1 16 21 +20.7
Javan Buchanan 28 3-6 0-2 5-6 2 0 2 0 0 11 9 +11.8
Andrew Meadow 26 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 2 +7.2
Julian Bowie 24 3-8 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 0 +6.9
Emmanuel Ugbo 17 5-8 1-1 1-1 5 1 1 0 0 12 11 +10.8
Pearson Carmichael 14 3-4 0-1 1-1 6 0 1 0 1 7 9 +13.9
RJ Keene 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 +8.4
O'Mar Stanley 7 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 3 3 0 +4.4
Dylan Anderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Chris Lockett 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.8

* = starter