Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.0% | 30.0% | -4.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -9 (62-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Cardenas | 39 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +13.0 |
| Tyson Degenhart | 34 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 6-9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 14 | +8.6 |
| Andrew Meadow | 33 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +6.8 |
| Javan Buchanan | 29 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 17 | +4.3 |
| RJ Keene | 28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | +9.6 |
| Julian Bowie | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.1 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | -6.8 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 38 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 6 | -5.5 |
| Jalen Hill | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -5.6 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 30 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Jailen Bedford | 29 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +3.0 |
| Julian Rishwain | 23 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -8.5 |
| Jaden Henley | 20 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -8.3 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Jacob Bannarbie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
* = starter