Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +10 (66-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Davidson | 34 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | -4.1 |
| Kobe Sanders | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -4.1 |
| Daniel Foster | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -10.2 |
| Tyler Rolison | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +3.0 |
| Justin McBride | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -5.5 |
| Xavier DuSell | 22 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Brandon Love | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -10.6 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.8 |
| K.J. Hymes | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -3.3 |
| Tre Coleman | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Cardenas | 38 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | +10.2 |
| Tyson Degenhart | 37 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | +11.7 |
| Javan Buchanan | 30 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | +2.7 |
| RJ Keene | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | +9.2 |
| Andrew Meadow | 25 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +6.9 |
| Julian Bowie | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.5 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +2.4 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.4 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.3 |
* = starter