Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Degenhart | 39 | 10-17 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Alvaro Cardenas | 38 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | +4.8 |
| Andrew Meadow | 32 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -5.3 |
| Javan Buchanan | 20 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +17.9 |
| Julian Bowie | 16 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Chris Lockett | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.6 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.5 |
| RJ Keene | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.1 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -7.8 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Dylan Anderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 39 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | +4.3 |
| Kyan. Evans | 32 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +8.4 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 16 | +2.7 |
| Jalen Lake | 28 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Ethan Morton | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +0.6 |
| Keshawn Williams | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3.6 |
| Nikola Djapa | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Bowen Born | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.6 |
* = starter