Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +19 (84-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Degenhart | 34 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -20.7 |
| A. Cardenas | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | -13.6 |
| J. Buchanan | 26 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -14.4 |
| J. Bowie | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -18.5 |
| A. Meadow | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -22.5 |
| O. Stanley | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| C. Lockett Jr. | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -4.0 |
| RJ Keene | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1.8 |
| E. Ugbo | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.5 |
| P. Carmichael | 7 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -8.6 |
| D. Anderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Junior Joseph | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +20.7 |
| M. Amzil | 32 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +28.3 |
| F. Borovicanin | 29 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 23 | +24.5 |
| D. Dent | 27 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11 | +11.3 |
| T. Washington | 27 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +26.1 |
| C.J. Noland | 21 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -2.0 |
| K. Dotson | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +12.3 |
| J. Milicevic | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -4.6 |
| A. Ally Atiki | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.6 |
| Q. Webb | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| I. Sacko | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
* = starter