Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +22 (81-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 38 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | -19.2 |
| Julian Rishwain | 32 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -27.5 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -22.6 |
| Jaden Henley | 29 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Jalen Hill | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -14.9 |
| Jailen Bedford | 24 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | -16.5 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +6.9 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Jacob Bannarbie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Cardenas | 38 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +25.9 |
| Tyson Degenhart | 31 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | +23.7 |
| Chris Lockett | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +13.4 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 22 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +18.8 |
| Dylan Anderson | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Pearson Carmichael | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Javan Buchanan | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +11.8 |
| Andrew Meadow | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +13.9 |
| Julian Bowie | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.5 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter