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2024-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 74.6% 25.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 61.0% 39.0% - โœ—
Margin 66.6% 33.4% -3.8 โœ— (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 74.7% 25.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.3% 43.7% - โœ—

Actual: Pacific Tigers +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AJ Marotte 41 7-19 1-6 2-2 5 1 0 0 6 17 -2 -4.8
Kennedie Shuler 37 1-3 0-2 0-0 8 3 2 0 7 2 5 -2.1
Kelsey Rees 35 1-4 0-1 8-8 8 4 1 0 2 10 17 +0.4
Sela Heide 28 6-7 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 2 2 14 11 -6.3
Ally Schimel 28 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 3 1 -5.6
Catarina Ferreira 27 4-9 0-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 8 5 +0.3
Tiara Bolden 26 3-6 2-3 1-2 1 1 2 0 3 9 4 -1.3
Cloe Vecina 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -2.5

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anaya James 42 7-17 6-13 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 22 12 +2.2
Liz Smith 42 4-13 1-8 2-2 5 10 4 0 2 11 15 +12.5
Elizabeth Elliott 38 4-11 0-0 1-5 7 0 1 1 2 9 5 +2.8
Lauren Glazier 27 5-12 0-1 0-0 4 2 4 1 3 10 6 +2.0
Nyah Lowery 26 3-11 2-7 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 8 1 +5.6
Sydney Ward 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 4 0 -0.6
Marina Radocaj 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 3 0 2 2 2 -7.8
Stella Szabo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +2.4
Luisa Anderegg 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.3

* = starter