Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern Tigers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +15 (97-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kavion McClain * | 38 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -13.9 |
| Zaire Hayes * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | -13.8 |
| Kenny Hunter * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | -9.0 |
| Duane Posey * | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 14-15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 34 | +8.0 |
| Jaylin Jackson-Posey * | 15 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -5.4 |
| Kolby Granger | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | -11.9 |
| Oumar Koureissi | 17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | -19.7 |
| Kehlin Farooq | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Josh Farmer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Fort * | 20 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +14.9 |
| Rylan Jones * | 19 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 23 | +21.9 |
| Collin Holloway * | 16 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | -6.4 |
| Jaden Brownell * | 13 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +5.7 |
| Julian Brown * | 10 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -3.3 |
| Lukas Walls | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +11.9 |
| Josh Holloway | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +17.4 |
| Riley Allenspach | 18 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah West | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -5.9 |
| Larry Olayinka | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Zion Wilburn | 14 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Brody Boyer | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -4.0 |
| Paulie Stramaglia | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
* = starter