Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | South Carolina State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | โ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | โ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | โ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | โ |
Actual: South Carolina State Bulldogs -7 (81-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Jones | 31 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | +10.7 |
| Collin Holloway | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Trey Fort | 28 | 8-13 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 17 | +5.4 |
| Lukas Walls | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +10.6 |
| Josh Holloway | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jaden Brownell | 17 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Isaiah West | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +4.2 |
| Riley Allenspach | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -4.2 |
| Julian Brown | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Larry Olayinka | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Zion Wilburn | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
South Carolina State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drayton Jones | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -11.5 |
| Wilson Dubinsky | 27 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | -4.6 |
| Michael Teal | 25 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Omar Croskey | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +2.1 |
| Caleb McCarty | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | -3.8 |
| Colin McKenzie | 20 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -13.6 |
| Davion Everett | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Jayden Johnson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.4 |
| James Morrow | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Florian Tenebay | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -5.0 |
* = starter