Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +24 (83-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Heady | 39 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | -18.5 |
| Cayden Vasko | 34 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -18.5 |
| Anthony Pritchard | 33 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | -23.8 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt | 28 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Damarion Bonds | 28 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -9.6 |
| Bryan Ndjonga | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Hunter Harding | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +8.0 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 34 | 4-15 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +18.5 |
| Cameron Matthews | 30 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | +16.6 |
| Claudell Harris Jr. | 25 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | +14.1 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | +23.2 |
| RJ Melendez | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +12.7 |
| Michael Nwoko | 17 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +2.0 |
| Riley Kugel | 16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +9.6 |
| Martavious Russell | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Dellquan Warren | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +3.7 |
| Gai Chol | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Jeremy Foumena | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Harrison Alexander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Trey Jackson III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter