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2024-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 53.7% 46.3% -
Bradley-Terry 63.7% 36.3% -
Margin 51.1% 48.9% -0.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% -
Log Adjusted 60.9% 39.1% -
Points Off/Def 49.7% 50.3% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +2 (89-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wolf 33 6-11 0-2 2-3 9 9 0 0 3 14 18 +7.6
T. Donaldson 31 3-7 1-3 2-4 2 3 3 0 4 9 6 +5.3
R. Gayle Jr. 29 6-13 0-2 1-2 3 2 2 0 3 13 4 -5.2
V. Goldin 28 7-9 0-0 3-5 9 1 0 2 1 17 19 -10.8
N. Burnett 26 4-8 1-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 10 2 +8.6
R. Jones 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 2 4 -3.4
W. Tschetter 18 4-5 3-4 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 13 6 -0.5
S. Walters 14 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 +10.9
J. Pippen 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -6.1

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Fland 37 6-18 2-7 6-6 1 7 2 0 2 20 10 +5.7
D.J. Wagner 35 7-12 2-3 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 16 10 +12.5
J. Davis 32 2-8 1-4 1-1 4 1 0 0 2 6 1 -6.6
J. Aidoo 26 3-6 0-0 5-8 7 0 2 2 2 11 14 +16.3
T. Brazile 26 6-8 1-3 2-6 6 1 3 1 1 15 17 -4.7
A. Thiero 22 6-9 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 13 7 +1.1
K. Knox 13 2-2 1-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 -2.9
Z. Ivisic 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 1 -8.1
B. Richmond III 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter