Model Predictions
| Model | Army Black Knights | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards +16 (81-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rucker | 35 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | -16.2 |
| R. Curry | 34 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -19.4 |
| B. Barker | 28 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -12.7 |
| AJ Allenspach | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | -1.7 |
| J. Holloway | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | -1.5 |
| I. Caldwell | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -23.8 |
| K. McCarthy | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -5.6 |
| K. Hailey | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +2.6 |
| T. Laczkowski | 9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -8.3 |
| J. Everson | 5 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -9.2 |
| B. St. Clair | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Mayo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Benson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| JT Dougherty | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Vander Baan | 33 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 26 | +23.0 |
| Caleb Williams | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +24.3 |
| Andrew Phillips | 33 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +10.8 |
| Alex Chaikin | 30 | 7-16 | 4-8 | 9-11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 13 | +18.8 |
| Luka Savicevic | 26 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Ryan Pettit | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +19.3 |
| TJ Berger | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Misha Bednostin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.7 |
| Folabomi Fayemi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malik Rasul | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter