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2025-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Lafayette Leopards Army Black Knights Spread Result
Elo 50.4% 49.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.2% 41.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“

Actual: Army Black Knights +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Williams 35 5-11 3-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 13 4 -0.1
Justin Vander Baan 35 8-13 0-1 1-2 3 2 1 5 4 17 11 +6.8
Andrew Phillips 33 4-7 4-5 0-0 6 5 0 0 2 12 14 -0.4
Mark Butler 32 3-4 0-0 3-5 0 2 1 0 1 9 7 -1.4
Alex Chaikin 30 4-6 1-1 3-3 7 1 0 0 3 12 11 +11.1
Luka Savicevic 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 2 +4.9
Ryan Pettit 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 4 -9.2
Malik Rasul 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 +1.5
Misha Bednostin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -5.7
TJ Berger 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.9

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scovens 36 4-9 0-1 3-6 4 3 3 2 3 11 11 -0.3
R. Curry 36 5-11 4-9 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 14 7 +2.8
J. Rucker 36 12-18 3-7 2-2 4 1 2 1 1 29 18 +2.1
AJ Allenspach 28 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 2 4 7 -10.0
B. Barker 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 3 5 -5.6
I. Caldwell 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 2 6 +3.8
K. Hailey 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -3.7
J. Everson 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 +13.1
K. McCarthy 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.4
J. Holloway 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -0.2
T. Laczkowski 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -4.3

* = starter