Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Howard Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | -1.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Howard Bison -4 (75-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pacheco * | 32 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | -2.8 |
| X. Lipscomb * | 32 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +2.4 |
| D. Hobbs * | 31 | 5-16 | 1-8 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | +2.4 |
| D. Adebayo * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +10.8 |
| J. Cordilia * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +5.8 |
| T. Ard Jr. | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -0.4 |
| J. Ervin | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +4.6 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Wilson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.1 |
| M. Dread | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
Howard Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Harper * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 7-11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -2.4 |
| A. Gill * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | -4.8 |
| J. Strong * | 30 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -3.5 |
| M. Dockery * | 25 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -2 | -1.4 |
| D. Campbell * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +3.7 |
| J. Johnson | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.6 |
| C. Shockley-Okeke | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| M. Hima | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8.4 |
| M. Stewart | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -8.8 |
| A. Taiwo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter