Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.3% | 39.7% | -2.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles -15 (70-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston | 35 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +14.6 |
| Wesley Robinson | 33 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | +9.0 |
| Devin Dinkins | 32 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | +15.8 |
| Shaquil Bender | 29 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +9.9 |
| Masiah Gilyard | 24 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +12.1 |
| Will Sydnor | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +6.1 |
| Fraser Roxburgh | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +12.5 |
| Michael Lawlor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Jackson Delaney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Marko Ljubicic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Daniel Hackett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| John Berbano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Aryan Arora | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.8 |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olumide Adelodun | 35 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | -13.8 |
| Jaeden Marshall | 30 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | -5.1 |
| Justin Page | 29 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -11.2 |
| Jhaylon Martinez | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -6.8 |
| J. Davis | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -12.3 |
| Zion Russell | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -13.2 |
| Damondre Mcknight | 13 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -7.4 |
| Jahari Williamson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +3.3 |
| Will Shortt | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.8 |
* = starter