Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Page | 30 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -7.2 |
| Olumide Adelodun | 27 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -13.2 |
| Jahari Williamson | 25 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | -11.3 |
| J. Davis | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -13.3 |
| Justice Smith | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Zion Russell | 20 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | -4.4 |
| Jaeden Marshall | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12.6 |
| Jhaylon Martinez | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Will Shortt | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1.8 |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Dinkins | 38 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +14.0 |
| Jaden Winston | 36 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | +15.1 |
| Masiah Gilyard | 35 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 31 | +15.0 |
| Shaquil Bender | 32 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +8.0 |
| Wesley Robinson | 30 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | +9.0 |
| Will Sydnor | 21 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | +7.7 |
| Alijah Curry | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +7.0 |
* = starter