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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 1.1% 98.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Margin 1.2% 98.8% +24.2 โœ“ (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +10 (72-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Hall 39 1-6 1-4 7-8 4 2 0 1 6 10 5 -7.0
Preston Ruedinger 37 6-8 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 14 8 -5.2
Foster Wonders 33 1-6 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 5 4 -5.4
Mac Wrecke 30 6-10 2-3 5-5 3 0 0 0 0 19 12 +1.7
Roee Oselka 24 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 6 7 -1.8
Ben Tweedy 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 4 0 -3.8
C.J. O'Hara 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -8.4
Ryan Wade 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.9

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennett Stirtz 40 3-10 1-5 4-4 2 6 2 1 3 11 9 +5.2
Isaiah Jackson 39 9-12 1-3 2-3 12 3 2 0 1 21 25 +6.6
Mitch Mascari 38 1-6 1-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 -1 +7.5
Daniel Abreu 32 1-5 0-4 0-1 2 0 2 1 0 2 2 +6.7
Tavion Banks 24 8-12 0-0 3-5 3 1 1 1 0 19 13 +5.4
Cam Manyawu 21 6-9 0-0 4-9 7 3 2 1 0 16 20 -0.2
Nate Ferguson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1
Kael Combs 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter