Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans +6 (84-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olumide Adelodun * | 41 | 7-14 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | -12.6 |
| Justice Smith * | 35 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J. Davis * | 33 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -3.3 |
| Jahari Williamson * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -11.4 |
| Jhaylon Martinez * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Jaeden Marshall | 29 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 5-9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | -12.5 |
| Justin Page | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Will Shortt | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Zion Russell | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +7.0 |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tchikou | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mak Manciel * | 40 | 9-15 | 6-7 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 25 | +6.6 |
| Orlando Lovejoy * | 38 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +10.6 |
| Nate Johnson * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Emmanuel Kuac * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +7.0 |
| Ryan Kalambay * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Jared Lary | 30 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +12.2 |
| Legend Geeter | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | +8.3 |
| Stephen Okoro | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.0 |
| TJ Nadeau | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.0 |
| Grant Gondrezick II | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
* = starter