Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling Tigers | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +12.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +3 (82-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Burnett * | 36 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 4-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | +0.5 |
| E. Ross * | 32 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 19 | +0.2 |
| K. Dozier * | 30 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +4.4 |
| M. Stevenson * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -5.2 |
| P.J. Eason * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Newton | 30 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | +5.1 |
| PJ Edwards | 27 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.1 |
| E. Nnaji | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| J. Flippin | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -3.7 |
| L. Hutchinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hyder * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -0.7 |
| O. Koonce * | 33 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | +1.2 |
| M. Riniker * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -7.6 |
| I. Jessup * | 31 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | -1.0 |
| P. Bandelj * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | -3.2 |
| L. Tarlac | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -5.1 |
| G. Vasilic | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3.9 |
| K. Elliott | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.0 |
| E. Menzies | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.4 |
* = starter