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2025-01-27

Model Predictions

Model East Texas A&M Lions Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.7% 80.3% - โœ“
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.2 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“

Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Texas A&M Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Phelps 28 1-7 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 2 -4 -7.0
Scooter Williams Jr. 27 6-9 1-2 1-2 3 2 4 0 4 14 10 -3.0
Khaliq Abdul-Mateen 21 6-8 6-8 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 18 14 -2.0
Tay Mosher 21 4-9 2-4 0-0 6 3 0 1 1 10 10 -1.0
KC Ugwuakazi 21 3-6 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 2 0 6 5 +0.0
Demarco Bethea 20 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 3 -7.0
TJ Thomas 19 1-3 1-2 2-2 2 5 0 0 3 5 6 +9.0
Josh Taylor 17 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 6 8 -5.0
Chris Adlam 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 2 -1 -6.0
Yusef Salih 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -6.0
Camerin James 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keon Thompson 37 7-14 1-2 2-2 6 10 3 0 1 17 21 +7.0
Chrishawn Christmas 32 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 2 +2.0
Myles Jenkins 29 2-6 2-5 2-2 5 2 1 0 0 8 10 +6.0
Kyle Hayman 26 8-15 5-7 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 21 9 -
Juhlawnei Stone 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 4 2 2 5 +1.0
Nana Antwi-Boasiako 19 5-5 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 1 1 12 14 +2.0
Keith Lamar 18 4-10 2-4 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 11 5 +9.0
Dominic Pangonis 15 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 2 2 0 3 5 5 -7.0
Keenan Emmanuel 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0
DaeVeon Scott 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

* = starter