Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.2% | 16.8% | -8.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -1 (51-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 36 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Jaden Henley | 35 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +3.6 |
| Julian Rishwain | 32 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +6.7 |
| Jailen Bedford | 25 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | -6.1 |
| Jalen Hill | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -10.4 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.3 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Weaver | 36 | 2-13 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -5 | +6.1 |
| Alex Crawford | 35 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Zaon Collins | 34 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +8.8 |
| Elijah Price | 33 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 20 | +5.0 |
| Brian Amuneke | 28 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +10.4 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Jasir Tremble | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | -1.9 |
| Mor Seck | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Joshua Bonga | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.8 |
* = starter