Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.7% | 5.3% | -15.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 33 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 25 | +12.2 |
| Jalen Lake | 31 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | -9.6 |
| Kyan. Evans | 30 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Ethan Morton | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 20 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -6.0 |
| Keshawn Williams | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.1 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +3.3 |
| Bowen Born | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +1.0 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Crawford | 38 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Zaon Collins | 38 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | +3.4 |
| Jalen Weaver | 35 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +6.4 |
| Elijah Price | 33 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | -4.9 |
| Jasir Tremble | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +9.2 |
| Mor Seck | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +5.3 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Brian Amuneke | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.5 |
* = starter