Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +28 (95-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Crawford | 35 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | -33.5 |
| Jalen Weaver | 33 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | -17.9 |
| Zaon Collins | 31 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -19.8 |
| Elijah Price | 27 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | -9.0 |
| Brian Amuneke | 23 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | -12.0 |
| Jasir Tremble | 19 | 1-11 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | -11.0 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.4 |
| Mor Seck | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -18.2 |
| Joshua Bonga | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | 32 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | +30.5 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | +20.0 |
| Tru Washington | 22 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +31.8 |
| C.J. Noland | 21 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | +14.7 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 20 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | +25.1 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 18 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Braden Appelhans | 14 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +4.7 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +6.7 |
| Kayde Dotson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.1 |
| Quinton Webb | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Ibrahima Sacko | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.0 |
* = starter