Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +27 (91-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaon Collins | 33 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -16.5 |
| Alex Crawford | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 6-11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 13 | -14.3 |
| Jalen Weaver | 28 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -1 | -13.0 |
| Elijah Price | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -1.9 |
| Mykell Robinson | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -9.1 |
| Brian Amuneke | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -9.6 |
| Jasir Tremble | 20 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -18.0 |
| Mor Seck | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -14.3 |
| Joshua Bonga | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.9 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Lake | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +22.2 |
| Kyan. Evans | 26 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | +10.8 |
| Keshawn Williams | 25 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +13.4 |
| Nique Clifford | 23 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | +25.2 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 22 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | +7.9 |
| Ethan Morton | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +14.4 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Bowen Born | 16 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | +15.3 |
| Luke Murphy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nikola Djapa | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
* = starter