Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.8% | 4.2% | -17.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -14 (89-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | 34 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 19 | +12.1 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 32 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 10 | +12.9 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 24 | +12.4 |
| Tru Washington | 29 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +7.5 |
| C.J. Noland | 22 | 11-17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | +14.9 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -6.5 |
| Braden Appelhans | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +1.2 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.8 |
| Kayde Dotson | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Ibrahima Sacko | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.0 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Price | 34 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 9-14 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 25 | -12.1 |
| Zaon Collins | 32 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 9 | -11.4 |
| Jalen Weaver | 31 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | -9.0 |
| Brian Amuneke | 27 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | -11.7 |
| Alex Crawford | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -12.7 |
| Mykell Robinson | 23 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Jasir Tremble | 18 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Mor Seck | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Joshua Bonga | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter