Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +20 (73-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedrick Washington | 34 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Rob Martin | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -12.6 |
| BJ Ward | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | -15.2 |
| Troy Cole Jr. | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Brendan Terry | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | -11.5 |
| Damarion Walkup | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -11.3 |
| Braxton Stacker | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -10.0 |
| Elliot Lowndes | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3.4 |
| David Idada | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.4 |
| TJ Biel | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Mason Hanback | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terence Harcum | 39 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | +18.0 |
| JaCobi Wood | 32 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | +16.5 |
| AJ Ferguson | 31 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +10.4 |
| Nick Ellington | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 21 | +1.7 |
| Alden Applewhite | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +21.4 |
| Justin Morgan | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +12.9 |
| Kylen Milton | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +9.3 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chiang Ring | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Jordan McCullum | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Trey Boggess | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Patrick Chew | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| John McCrear | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter