Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Omaha Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Omaha Mavericks +4 (86-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Jessup | 33 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -2.1 |
| Mac Riniker | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Owen Koonce | 31 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Jarred Hyder | 31 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | -5.8 |
| Peter Bandelj | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Luka Tarlac | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -16.2 |
| Ethan Menzies | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Cayden Ward | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Hayden Jory | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.1 |
Omaha Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Sutton | 35 | 10-20 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 15 | +4.7 |
| Tony Osburn | 30 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +7.5 |
| Kamryn Thomas | 30 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Ja'Sean Glover | 28 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -2.5 |
| JJ White | 27 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Joshua Streit | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +6.4 |
| Khamani Cooper | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -3.7 |
| Lance Waddles | 12 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +9.2 |
| Isaac Ondekane | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.0 |
* = starter