Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +1 (95-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Shogbonyo | 38 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | +0.7 |
| DeAndre Craig | 35 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 12 | -8.0 |
| Josh Lee | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +8.6 |
| Sebastian Akins | 33 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Pedro Lopez Sanvicente | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Isaiah Addo-Ankrah | 27 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Josh Pickett | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4.4 |
| Ben Bowen | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.8 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Hyder | 41 | 9-17 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 21 | +0.2 |
| Owen Koonce | 40 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Mac Riniker | 38 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2.2 |
| Isaac Jessup | 31 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | +0.0 |
| Peter Bandelj | 30 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | +7.3 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Luka Tarlac | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ethan Menzies | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4.9 |
* = starter