Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Hines | 31 | 6-19 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2 | -17.5 |
| Amarr Knox | 30 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -16.5 |
| Jasteven Walker | 25 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1.3 |
| J. Kaego | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ubong Okon | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +5.9 |
| Tyler Mack | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -12.2 |
| Micah Simpson | 20 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -14.3 |
| Shawn Fulcher | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -10.3 |
| D'Ante Bass | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.1 |
| Mario Andrews | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.9 |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denijay Harris | 38 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 30 | +16.9 |
| Christian Watson | 34 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Neftali Alvarez | 31 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | +18.1 |
| DeAntoni Gordon | 30 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +16.5 |
| Cobie Montgomery | 28 | 6-10 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Christian Reid | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jeffery Armstrong | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.1 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -4.9 |
| Jose Benitez | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +8.1 |
| Jett Montgomery | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brewer Carruth | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.2 |
| Lieb Yat | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trey Alfonso | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter