Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | East Texas A&M Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.0% | 13.0% | -10.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Texas A&M Lions -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 35 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +8.2 |
| Myles Corey | 34 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 6-14 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | +8.2 |
| Randy Brady | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +5.5 |
| John Broom | 29 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +13.4 |
| JJ Wheat | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | +6.6 |
| Judah Brown | 16 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Jayden Cooper | 13 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | +7.0 |
| Elijah Ormiston | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Dylan Fasoyiro | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
| Cantia Rahming | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.0 |
East Texas A&M Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scooter Williams Jr. | 26 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -16.4 |
| TJ Thomas | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -8.2 |
| Yusef Salih | 26 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Josh Taylor | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Khaliq Abdul-Mateen | 23 | 6-12 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | -6.8 |
| Tay Mosher | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Mykol Sanchez-Vega | 19 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -12.6 |
| Demarco Bethea | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -5.9 |
| Camerin James | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Evan Phelps | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.2 |
* = starter