Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson * | 35 | 9-16 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 13 | -8.9 |
| Ahmad Robinson * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Alex Holt * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -3.1 |
| Cam Bryant * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -9.8 |
| A. Montas Jr. * | 26 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -10.3 |
| Jah Quinones | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -16.0 |
| Brady Shoulders | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +3.3 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Laurynas Vaistaras | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -6.9 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Corey * | 37 | 8-15 | 4-11 | 8-11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 18 | +9.2 |
| Randy Brady * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | -7.7 |
| Barry Dunning Jr. * | 30 | 4-15 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +13.3 |
| John Broom * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +9.6 |
| Dylan Fasoyiro * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5.8 |
| Judah Brown | 34 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +9.5 |
| JJ Wheat | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +13.9 |
| Cantia Rahming | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Elijah Ormiston | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 |
* = starter