Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +29.5 | ✓ (33.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +63 (104-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy Miles * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | -13.6 |
| Nick Krass * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | -39.2 |
| Bubu Benjamin * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | -39.2 |
| Jordan Mizell * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -41.0 |
| Chris Mpaka * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -11.6 |
| Joseph Martinez | 30 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -30.9 |
| M. Krass | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -18.6 |
| Ronnie Harrison Jr. | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Roy Marom | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Roach * | 29 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +35.5 |
| Josh Ojianwuna * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | +26.9 |
| Norchad Omier * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | +18.0 |
| Jayden Nunn * | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +37.0 |
| VJ Edgecombe * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 8-11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | +40.2 |
| Robert Wright | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | +37.1 |
| Jalen Celestine | 22 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 15 | +11.4 |
| Jason Asemota | 11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Marino Dubravcic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Davidson Hubbard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Omar Adegbola | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter