Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 44 | 11-23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 43 | 7-13 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 41 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Smith | 36 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Williams | 30 | 2-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Juhasz | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 45 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 42 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 40 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 40 | 1-19 | 1-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter