Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders +9 (88-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Dawson | 37 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | -11.5 |
| Dezayne Mingo | 36 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | -11.0 |
| Nate Martin | 24 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.6 |
| Obinna Anochili-Killen | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | -8.5 |
| Jalen Speer | 17 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +6.8 |
| Kaiden White | 16 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -11.8 |
| Cade Gibbs | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +4.9 |
| Jakob Gibbs | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.3 |
| Ryan Nutter | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -3.2 |
| Wyatt Fricks | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Will Moore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Kai Spears | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Noel | 38 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 15 | +11.0 |
| Alex Huibregtse | 36 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 6 | +11.0 |
| Keaton Norris | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | +5.6 |
| Solomon Callaghan | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Logan Woods | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +14.9 |
| Jack Doumbia | 20 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 21 | +2.5 |
| Drey Carter | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +4.6 |
| Michael Imariagbe | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +3.7 |
| Andrew Welage | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter