Model Predictions
| Model | Bellarmine Knights | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +21 (83-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bellarmine Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Johnson * | 35 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -21.7 |
| Billy Smith * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -24.7 |
| Jack Karasinski * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 13-14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | -9.1 |
| Curt Hopf * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -18.2 |
| Kenyon Goodin * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -5.6 |
| Dylan Branson | 19 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Myles Watkins | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | -7.5 |
| Tyler Doyle | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Dezmond McKinney | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7.4 |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obinna Anochili-Killen * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | +16.7 |
| Nate Martin * | 29 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 24 | +21.6 |
| Dezayne Mingo * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +11.0 |
| Mikal Dawson * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +21.2 |
| Ryan Nutter * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.7 |
| Jalen Speer | 29 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | +19.1 |
| Jakob Gibbs | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.4 |
| Cade Gibbs | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +4.3 |
| Wyatt Fricks | 12 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | -0.2 |
| Kai Spears | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +7.7 |
| Will Moore | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -2.3 |
* = starter