Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +2 (56-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilyn McGuff | 37 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | -2.1 |
| Lily Zeinstra | 37 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +10.3 |
| Riley Makalusky | 35 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Sydney Jaynes | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Karsyn Norman | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +10.1 |
| Cristen Carter | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Ari Wiggins | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -7.0 |
| Jocelyn Land | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.6 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Webber | 38 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -2 | +3.2 |
| Jasmine Bascoe | 37 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | -5.3 |
| Bronagh Power-Cassidy | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Denae Carter | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +5.4 |
| Ryanne Allen | 22 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Kaitlyn Orihel | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Jaliyah Green | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.7 |
| Maddie Burke | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Lara Edmanson | 7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -7.3 |
| Dani Ceseretti | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter