Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.9% | 0.1% | -37.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -39 (47-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bueckers | 34 | 10-16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | -7.3 |
| S. Strong | 31 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 21 | -0.7 |
| A. Fudd | 27 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -7.3 |
| A. Shade | 24 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -4.7 |
| K. Chen | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -7.1 |
| J. El Alfy | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -3.6 |
| KK Arnold | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -7.2 |
| A. Griffin | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.0 |
| A. Ziebell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Q. Samuels | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +0.1 |
| C. Ducharme | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McGuff | 34 | 4-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +9.0 |
| L. Zeinstra | 32 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | +2.5 |
| R. Makalusky | 29 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +1.9 |
| C. Carter | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +8.4 |
| A. Wiggins | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | +8.6 |
| K. Norman | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +8.0 |
| L. Carmody | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +7.0 |
| J. Land | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.1 |
| L. Stoddard | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| S. Jaynes | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +0.5 |
* = starter