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2025-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 87.3% 12.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 86.2% 13.8% - ✓
Margin 94.4% 5.6% -15.6 ✓ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 80.7% 19.3% - ✓
Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 95.8% 4.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 95.9% 4.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 78.2% 21.8% - ✓

Actual: Xavier Musketeers -15 (42-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maddie Webber 37 5-10 1-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 13 5 -2.4
Jasmine Bascoe 28 5-13 1-4 4-4 3 5 3 0 5 15 8 -3.8
Kaitlyn Orihel 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 0 6 +1.3
Bronagh Power-Cassidy 22 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 -4.0
Denae Carter 22 3-8 0-1 2-2 9 1 0 1 5 8 6 -0.1
Lara Edmanson 19 6-8 2-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 15 9 -2.5
Jaliyah Green 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 4 0 3 3 7 +1.6
Maddie Burke 13 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 3 -4.3
Ryanne Allen 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.6
Dani Ceseretti 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -0.1
Rachel Wirts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.0
Maggie Grant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Annie Welde 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Purvis 40 4-6 1-1 6-8 4 3 3 1 7 15 13 +3.7
M. Kanerva 37 6-8 3-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 15 4 +0.6
L. Martínez López 26 0-5 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 1 2 0 4 +6.5
P. Oborilova 22 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -1 +1.0
M. Givens 16 2-5 0-2 1-2 2 0 2 0 0 5 4 +2.0
A. Mayo 15 0-6 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -1.5
L. Christie 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -3.7
I. Orio 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 +0.4
D. López 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 +2.5
J. Garcia Roig 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +4.2
V. Nejašmić 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter