Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.3% | 28.7% | -5.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Webber | 38 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Jasmine Bascoe | 36 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | +10.2 |
| Bronagh Power-Cassidy | 30 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +9.6 |
| Denae Carter | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +9.7 |
| Maddie Burke | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Kaitlyn Orihel | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +9.7 |
| Dani Ceseretti | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Lara Edmanson | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Ryanne Allen | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Jaliyah Green | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +10.0 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilyn McGuff | 37 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 22 | +1.1 |
| Lily Carmody | 31 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -9.0 |
| Riley Makalusky | 26 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | -9.6 |
| Sydney Jaynes | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Lily Zeinstra | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | -8.2 |
| Ari Wiggins | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -9.4 |
| Karsyn Norman | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.8 |
| Cristen Carter | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -9.5 |
| Jocelyn Land | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
* = starter