Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | East Texas A&M Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✗ (26.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Texas A&M Lions +22 (72-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Patterson | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -27.0 |
| Willie Williams | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -6.0 |
| Love Bettis | 22 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -5 | -4.9 |
| Jon Sanders | 20 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -4 | -19.0 |
| JT Warren | 19 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -22.0 |
| Jerald Colonel | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | -9.1 |
| Micah Thomas | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Justin Redmond | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -13.9 |
| Landyn Jumawan | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Chris Mubiru | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.1 |
| Dontae Walker | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -15.9 |
| J.C. Riley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Mitch Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
East Texas A&M Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Phelps | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +9.0 |
| TJ Thomas | 25 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +19.9 |
| Khaliq Abdul-Mateen | 23 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +21.9 |
| Camerin James | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | +24.9 |
| KC Ugwuakazi | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | +16.0 |
| Scooter Williams Jr. | 19 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +19.0 |
| Josh Taylor | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +10.9 |
| Tay Mosher | 16 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2.1 |
| Yusef Salih | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +4.9 |
| Chris Adlam | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | +0.9 |
| Mykol Sanchez-Vega | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Brandon Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
* = starter