Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -3 (54-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Patterson | 40 | 6-18 | 2-4 | 5-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | +1.0 |
| Micah Thomas | 32 | 4-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -2 | -5.8 |
| Willie Williams | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | +11.0 |
| Jerald Colonel | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Landyn Jumawan | 22 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +3.1 |
| JT Warren | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Love Bettis | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +5.0 |
| Jon Sanders | 13 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | -4.0 |
| Lado Laku | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -6.0 |
| Justin Redmond | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +11.0 |
| Chris Mubiru | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Thompson | 39 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Chrishawn Christmas | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -6.1 |
| Kyle Hayman | 33 | 4-14 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Myles Jenkins | 27 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -8.9 |
| Juhlawnei Stone | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Nana Antwi-Boasiako | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +7.0 |
| Keith Lamar | 22 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -9.0 |
| Thierno Sylla | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Dominic Pangonis | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
| Clayton Southwick | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Keenan Emmanuel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter