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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model East Texas A&M Lions Northwestern State Demons Spread Result
Elo 8.9% 91.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“
Margin 13.9% 86.1% +10.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.5% 84.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.4% 84.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern State Demons +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Texas A&M Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scooter Williams Jr. 31 7-12 2-6 2-6 6 1 2 0 1 18 14 -8.0
Demarco Bethea 23 4-7 0-0 2-4 7 1 0 0 0 10 11 +7.1
Tay Mosher 22 3-6 0-3 0-2 1 2 2 0 2 6 3 +2.0
TJ Thomas 22 1-4 0-3 0-3 1 2 2 0 1 2 2 +2.0
Josh Taylor 19 3-8 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 3 1 8 6 -10.0
Evan Phelps 19 1-3 0-1 0-1 2 1 1 0 2 2 1 -13.0
Khaliq Abdul-Mateen 19 0-6 0-5 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 -2 -10.0
Camerin James 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -12.0
Yusef Salih 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 +1.0
Chris Adlam 12 4-6 1-2 1-1 3 2 0 0 1 10 8 +4.0
KC Ugwuakazi 4 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3.0

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Willie Williams 33 4-6 0-0 2-5 10 1 1 1 3 10 14 +8.0
Micah Thomas 31 6-10 5-8 8-9 4 2 1 0 1 25 21 +9.2
Addison Patterson 30 5-13 0-2 1-2 7 7 1 0 4 11 9 +9.0
Jon Sanders 21 3-7 2-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 4 12 5 +5.0
Landyn Jumawan 18 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 3 -2 +2.0
JT Warren 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 1 1 6 8 -2.1
Chris Mubiru 16 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -4.0
Lado Laku 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 0 5 +8.9
Love Bettis 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 +5.0
Justin Redmond 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -1.0

* = starter