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2024-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons Houston Christian Huskies Spread Result
Elo 74.3% 25.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% - โœ“
Margin 50.9% 49.1% -0.2 โœ“ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.5% 34.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—

Actual: Houston Christian Huskies -7 (57-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Willie Williams 32 5-6 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 0 2 10 15 +7.5
Addison Patterson 29 10-16 1-2 4-6 5 1 3 0 4 25 14 +2.5
Jon Sanders 27 5-9 2-4 5-5 2 0 1 0 2 17 9 -4.4
Jerald Colonel 23 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 4 0 8 11 +5.5
JT Warren 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 2 2 +5.5
Micah Thomas 22 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 0 1 -3.3
Landyn Jumawan 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 2 +8.8
Love Bettis 19 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 1 +9.8
Dontae Walker 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.C. Riley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Houston Christian Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryson Dawkins 37 5-10 1-3 2-5 5 2 1 0 3 13 8 -6.4
Trent Johnson 32 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 1 3 1 2 6 5 -5.9
Peyton Rogers 28 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 2 8 -9.7
Elijah Brooks 28 3-6 0-1 1-3 5 1 0 0 3 7 4 -6.4
Julian Mackey 23 2-11 0-6 5-5 1 2 1 0 0 9 2 -3.6
Demari Williams 15 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 4 -1.9
D'Aundre Samuels 12 4-8 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 9 2 +4.0
Porter Bazil 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
Ivan Reynolds 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
P. Bazil 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Mason McBride 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter