Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | Northwestern State Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | -0.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern State Demons +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Ireland | 35 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -2.4 |
| Michael Gray Jr. | 29 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Mekhi Collins | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -2.1 |
| Rob Brown III | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -7.4 |
| Trae English | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -13.2 |
| Emarion Ellis | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +6.8 |
| Jamal West Jr. | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +8.8 |
| Jaylen Searles | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Sincere Malone | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Williams | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +2.5 |
| Addison Patterson | 32 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | -1.6 |
| Micah Thomas | 31 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +5.6 |
| Jon Sanders | 20 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +10.4 |
| Landyn Jumawan | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +6.1 |
| JT Warren | 14 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | -5.8 |
| Lado Laku | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +3.0 |
| Jerald Colonel | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Love Bettis | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Chris Mubiru | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +3.0 |
| J.C. Riley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter