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2024-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Tarleton State Texans UTEP Miners Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Margin 11.0% 89.0% +11.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.3% 91.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“

Actual: UTEP Miners +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tarleton State Texans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bubu Benjamin 40 6-12 1-4 5-8 2 0 3 0 3 18 8 -2.5
Jordan Mizell 35 3-6 0-0 8-8 4 3 1 0 3 14 13 +3.2
Keitenn Bristow 35 6-9 1-4 0-0 6 2 1 1 5 13 9 +4.1
Chris Mpaka 31 2-7 0-1 4-5 9 1 1 2 3 8 11 -1.5
D. Grimes 21 2-2 2-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 6 -2.6
Izzy Miles 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -11.9
Marty Silvera 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 0 -2 -2.7
Nick Krass 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
Joseph Martinez 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UTEP Miners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Terrell Jr. 35 3-10 1-2 0-2 6 4 1 1 5 7 4 +4.0
Corey Camper Jr. 32 4-11 2-5 1-2 3 2 3 0 3 11 5 +3.1
Otis Frazier III 31 4-9 0-2 10-10 4 2 1 1 4 18 13 +2.8
Kevin Kalu 27 1-2 0-0 6-10 5 0 1 2 0 8 14 +5.9
Devon Barnes 27 2-4 1-2 6-9 2 0 1 0 0 11 10 -5.6
Ahamad Bynum 26 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 10 6 +5.6
Trey Horton 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -0.3
Derick Hamilton 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 +0.7
Elijah Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1.2
KJ Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter