Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | UTEP Miners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTEP Miners +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubu Benjamin | 40 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Jordan Mizell | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Keitenn Bristow | 35 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Chris Mpaka | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -1.5 |
| Dantwan Grimes | 21 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Izzy Miles | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -11.9 |
| Marty Silvera | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | -2.7 |
| Nick Krass | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Joseph Martinez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UTEP Miners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Terrell Jr. | 35 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +4.0 |
| Corey Camper Jr. | 32 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Otis Frazier III | 31 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Kevin Kalu | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +5.9 |
| Devon Barnes | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -5.6 |
| Ahamad Bynum | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +5.6 |
| Trey Horton | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -0.3 |
| Derick Hamilton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
| Elijah Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.2 |
| KJ Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter