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2024-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Tulsa Golden Hurricane Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% - โœ“
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 โœ— (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% - โœ—

Actual: Tulsa Golden Hurricane -14 (57-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Lewis * 39 3-12 3-7 8-8 5 2 1 1 4 17 10 +12.3
Johnathan Lawson * 38 9-12 3-6 2-2 7 5 2 0 0 23 25 +16.2
Mwani Wilkinson * 33 7-13 2-3 0-0 9 1 2 2 0 16 17 +13.3
Ante Beljan * 31 5-9 0-0 1-4 3 3 0 1 3 11 6 +10.6
Tuongthach Gatkek * 28 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -1 +4.1
Caleb Pennyfeather 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 2 4 +8.4
Jordan Jefferson 9 0-1 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.1
Nikola Milosevic 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +2.0
Christian Hughes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Braeden Carrington * 34 3-9 2-8 3-6 6 2 1 0 1 11 10 -12.5
Tyshawn Archie * 33 5-9 4-6 1-2 2 5 2 0 2 15 13 -12.5
Keaston Willis * 27 2-9 2-9 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 8 4 -14.8
Isaiah Barnes * 24 2-9 1-6 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 7 -1 +5.7
Matthew Reed * 18 1-4 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 4 -5.3
Dwon Odom 32 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 6 6 -10.3
Justin Amadi 21 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 2 2 2 2 5 -15.4
Ian Smikle 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 +1.1
Jesaiah McWright 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 +2.1

* = starter