Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.6% | 28.4% | -5.1 | ✓ (23.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans -29 (62-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finister * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +28.4 |
| Marcus Boykin * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | +26.3 |
| Lamar Wilkerson * | 21 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +13.6 |
| Cameron Huefner * | 20 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +17.0 |
| Kalifa Sakho * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +6.8 |
| Brennen Burns | 25 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | +20.1 |
| Kian Scroggins | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Josiah Hammons | 14 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +12.9 |
| Jaxson Ford | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Erik Taylor | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3.1 |
| Jackson Rogers | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Wade Neyland | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1.0 |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubu Benjamin * | 37 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 16 | -28.4 |
| Jordan Mizell * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -28.4 |
| Izzy Miles * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -22.4 |
| Joseph Martinez * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -30.2 |
| Nick Krass * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | -4.2 |
| M. Krass | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -8.8 |
| Chris Mpaka | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | -15.8 |
| Roy Marom | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| C. Evans | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.0 |
* = starter